Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients (≥70 years) with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024. Simple random sampling in R was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic stepwise regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. ResultsA total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training cohort, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression with stepwise selection, five independent risk factors were identified: IABP use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065–11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269–67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057–46.089, P=0.007), Cr (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997–6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000–2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: training set AUC was 0.898 (95%CI 0.831–0.966); validation set AUC 0.912 (95%CI 0.805–1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.
Objective To systematically evaluate the prognostic prediction model for chronic heart failure patients in China, and provide reference for the construction, application, and promotion of related prognostic prediction models. Methods A comprehensive search was conducted on the studies related to prognostic prediction model for Chinese patients with chronic heart failure published in The Cochrane Library, PubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, Wanfang, and the China Biological Medicine databases from inception to March 31, 2023. Two researchers strictly followed the inclusion and exclusion criteria to independently screen literature and extract data, and used the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST) to evaluate the quality of the models. Results A total of 25 studies were enrolled, including 123 prognostic prediction models for chronic heart failure patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the models ranged from 0.690 to 0.959. Twenty-two studies mostly used random splitting and Bootstrap for internal model validation, with an AUC range of 0.620-0.932. Seven studies conducted external validation of the model, with an AUC range of 0.720-0.874. The overall bias risk of all models was high, and the overall applicability was low. The main predictive factors included in the models were the N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association heart function grading, and body mass index. Conclusion The quality of modeling methodology for predicting the prognosis of chronic heart failure patients in China is poor, and the predictive performance of different models varies greatly. For developed models, external validation and clinical application research should be vigorously carried out. For model development research, it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictive factors related to disease prognosis before modeling. During modeling, large sample and prospective studies should be conducted strictly in accordance with the PROBAST standard, and the research results should be comprehensively reported using multivariate prediction model reporting guidelines to develop high-quality predictive models with strong scalability.
摘要:目的:观察美托洛尔对高血压并慢性心衰(CHF)患者的心功能影响及临床疗效。方法:择高血压并高心病或冠心病60例,心功能Ⅱ～Ⅳ级的患者,随机分为两组,常规组(30例),给与控制血压、利尿、转换酶抑制剂(ACEI)、洋地黄治疗。美托洛尔组(30例),在常规治疗基础上加用美托洛尔。结果：美托洛尔组临床显效率(667%),总有效率(93.4%),较常规组显著提高(Plt;0.05)。美托洛尔组与常规组治疗前后,心率、血压、左室舒张末期直径、左室收缩末期直径、左室射血分数、心输出量、E/A、等容舒张期时间均有显著改善(美托洛尔组Plt;0.01,常规组Plt;0.05),且美托洛尔组上述指标改善更明显(Plt;0.01或Plt;0.05)。结论:美托洛尔显著改善高血压并慢性心力衰竭患者的心功能,是一种安全有效的治疗方法。Abstract: Objective: To observe US to hold Luo river to hypertension and the chronic heart failure (CHF) patient’s heart function influence and the clinical curative effect. Methods: Selects hypertension and the high worry or the coronary disease 60 examples, the heart functionⅡ~ⅣThe level patient, divides into two groups stochastically, the conventional group (30 examples), gives the control blood pressure, the diuresis, the transformation enzyme inhibitor (ACEI), the digitalis treatment. US holds Luo river Zu (30 examples), adds in the conventional treatment foundation with US holds Luo river. Results: US holds the Luo river group clinical obviously efficiency (66.7%), the total effectiveness (93.4%), compares the conventional group remarkable enhancement (Plt;0.05). Around US holds Luo river Zu and the conventional group treats, the heart rate, the blood pressure, the left room diastole last stage diameter, the left room contraction last stage diameter, the left room shoot the menstruation number, the cardiac output, E/A, the constant volume relaxing period time to have the remarkable improvement (US to hold Luo river ZuPlt;0.01, conventional group (P lt;0.05), and US holds the Luo river group above target improvement to be more obvious (Plt;001 or Plt;0.05). Conclusion: US holds Luo river obviously to improve hypertension and the chronic heart
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is the main type of heart failure (HF), accounting for more than half of the incidence of HF. However, the etiology, pathogenesis, treatment and prognosis of HFpEF are still not fully understood. Recommendations for HFpEF are in different chapters in the 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA guideline for the management of heart failure. This paper interpreted the definition, stage, diagnosis, epidemiology, clinical evaluation, stage treatment, acute attack stage, comorbidity management, vulnerable population and research prospect of HFpEF, which aimed to provide the latest thinking in terms of the management of HFpEF for clinicians.
As a global disease, heart failure affects at least 26 million people, and its prevalence is still rising. Besides, the mortality rate and readmission rate remain high. Advanced heart failure is the terminal stage of various heart diseases, and often requires some treatments other than drug intervention, such as heart transplantation which is the gold standard for treatment of heart failure. However, limited by the number of donors, the number of heart transplants in the world has reached a bottleneck. There is a huge gap between the number of patients who need heart transplants and patients who get hearts for survival successfully in reality. With the exploration and development of mechanical circulation support devices for more than half a century, they have become a wonderful treatment for patients with advanced heart failure. This article will introduce the latest progress of mechanical circulatory support devices at home and abroad from the aspects of temporary and long-term devices.
Objective To report an acute ischemic left ventricular heart failure model of safe, simple, relatively steady, and reproducible in sheep. Methods Fourteen female sheep with a body weight of 36.80±3.43kg were used in this study. Heart failure model was induced by partial occluding the middle left circumflex coronary artery （LCX） combined with pacemaker-induced tachycardia. Hemodynamic measurement was done before and after heart failure, myocardial examination was observed. Results Heart failure model was induced successfully in 10 sheep. Cardiac output dropped from 3.74±0.48L/min to 2.02±0. 51L/min （P〈0. 01）, mean arterial pressure decreased from 116. 10± 14.15 mmHg（1kPa = 7.5mmHg） to 68. 10± 14. 72mmHg （P〈0.01）, central venous pressure rose from 7. 10±2.18mmHg to 10. 70± 3.50 mmHg （P〈0.05）, right ventricular end-diastolic pressure increased from 6.10±3.57mmHg to 9.90±4.41mmHg（P〈0.05）, left atrial pressure increased from 8.10±2.13 mmHg to 12.00± 4.57mmHg （P〈0. 01 ）, and left ventricular end-diastolic pressure increased from 8. 50± 4. 17mmHg to 13.10± 10. 64mmHg（P〉 0. 05）. The myocardial ultrastructure injuries was marked. Conclusions Acute ischemic left ventricular heart failure could be induced by partial occlusion of the middle LCX combined with pacemaker-induced taehyeardia in sheep. This model is simple, easy to manipulate, relatively steady, and reproducible . It may be used for assessing cardiac assist devices.