Objective The aim of this study was to describe the trends in the burden of breast cancer in women of all ages in China from 1990 to 2021, compare it with the global burden of breast cancer in women, and predict the burden of disease in the next 15 years. Methods Based on the open data of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) in 2021, the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of breast cancer among women in China and the world were analyzed. Joinpoint was used to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to reflect the changing trend of disease burden. An autoregressive composite moving average (ARIMA) model was used to predict the disease burden of breast cancer in women from 2022 to 2036. Results From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of female breast cancer in China showed an increasing trend, with an average annual increase of 2.400 7% and 2.334 8%, respectively, and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) showed a decreasing trend. The average annual decline was 0.290 0% and 0.198 3%, respectively. Meanwhile, ASIR and ASPR of global female breast cancer also showed an increasing trend, with an average annual increase of 0.474 9% and 0.3445 2% respectively, while ASMR and ASDR showed a decreasing trend, with an average annual decrease of 0.425 2% and 0.321 8% respectively. Among them, there were differences in the impact of age on the burden of female breast cancer. The peak of ASIR and ASPR appeared in the age group of 50 to 69 years old, and generally increased with the increase of age, and then decreased when reaching the peak. ASMR and ASDR increased with age. In the following 15 years, the prevalence of breast cancer in women in China and globally showed an increasing trend, while the mortality rate showed a decreasing trend. Conclusion From the analysis of the disease burden from 1990 to 2021, breast cancer has a huge harm to women, and the incidence of young and middle-aged women is high, the death rate of middle-aged and elderly women is high, and the disease time is long, which brings a heavy psychological and economic burden to patients and society. From the trend forecast for the next 15 years, the prevalence of breast cancer in women in China and the world will increase, while the mortality rate will decrease slightly, but the decrease is not large, which will bring huge public health challenges and put higher requirements on the prevention and control of the disease. To reduce the disease burden of breast cancer, comprehensive strategies for disease control are needed, including prevention of risk factors at the primary care level, screening of at-risk populations, and quality medical services.
ObjectiveTo investigate the prevalence rate of nosocomial infection in West China Hospital of Sichuan University and to analyze the implementation effect of nosocomial infection control measures, so as to provide reference for infection control.MethodsAn investigation of the prevalence rate of nosocomial infections was performed on patients who were admitted in West China Hospital of Sichuan University from 0:00-24:00 on a day of every late June from 2012 to 2018 by using bedside investigation in combination with inpatient medical record query, and the data was verified, summarized, and statistically analyzed by the professionals of Nosocomial Infection Management Department.ResultsFrom 2012 to 2018, the prevalence rates of nosocomial infections were 5.19%, 4.20%, 3.94%, 4.26%, 4.29%, 4.25%, and 2.97% in West China Hospital of Sichuan University, which tended to decline (χ2=32.826, P<0.001). There was no significant difference in annual total infection rate in the Department of Internal Medicine, however, the infection rate in the Department of Hematology tended to decline (χ2=6.127, P<0.05); in the Department of Surgical Medicine, the total infection rate tended to decline(χ2=18.721, P<0.001); in particular, the infection rate in the Department of Thoracic Surgery tended to decline(χ2=3.906, P<0.05); the annual difference in infection rate in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) was not statistically significant. The key site of nosocomial infection was dominated by the lower respiratory tract, and the annual difference was not statistically significant. In particular, postoperative pneumonia has increased since 2014 (χ2=9.56, P=0.002). The nosocomial pathogens which had the highest constituent ratio over the years were Acinetobacter baumannii (in 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, and 2018), Klebsiella pneumonia (in 2015), and Escherichia coli (in 2016). The annual difference in rate of antimicrobial use was not statistically significant(χ2=3.75, P=0.053), while the rate of antimicrobial use in the ICU tended to decline (χ2=30.42, P=0.000).ConclusionsThe prevalence rate of nosocomial infection in West China Hospital of Sichuan University tends to decline. However, sufficient attention still requires to be paid to lower respiratory tract infection, particularly for patients with postoperative pneumonia.
Restricted cubic spline function is an ideal model in trend approximation, which is widely used in doseresponse meta-analysis. The spline function, based on parameter technique, is a smoothly joined piecewise polynomial of each knot, with a cubic polynomial in each sub-interval of the slope which fits well in the non-linear trend by changing the number and (or) the sites of the knots. We have introduced the methodology of linear and non-linear slope model in dose-response meta-analysis in the previous article, and in this one, we will give a more detailed discussion on restricted cubic spline function mainly in the following aspects: model building, parameters pooling and knots selecting.
Objective To understand the research status and trend of value co-creation in China’s medical service field, so as to provide reference for the application research of value co-creation in China’s medical service field. Methods China National Knowledge Infrastructure was searched literature about the value co-creation in China’s medical service field retrieved from January 1, 2013 to December 1, 2021. CiteSpace V software is used to draw the keyword co-occurrence map, cluster analysis and timeline view, and analyze the overall process and evolution of literature publication interannual change, journal and discipline distribution, organization and author distribution, literature citation and so on. Results A total of 40 literatures were included, including 30 journals and 10 dissertations. The number of documents on value co-creation research in China’s medical service field showed an increasing trend year by year. The top journals in terms of published papers include Journal of Management Science, Chinese Hospital Management, Journal of Management Case Studies. Southern Medical University, Shanghai Jiaotong University and Tianjin University ranked among the institutions with a large number of documents. The top three authors in the number of published articles were Mai Shumin, Chen Huifang and Wei Qinggang. The relevant literature mainly comes from medicine and health, economy and management science. The research mainly focuses on many hot spots, such as service leading logic, internet medical care, service innovation, patient participation, doctor-patient relationship and so on. Conclusions The hot-spot research trend of value co-creation in the field of medical services in China is prominent, but the overall number of research is insufficient, the theoretical system of value co-creation is fragmented, and the core author group has not been formed yet. In the future, China needs to speed up the value co-creation theory and application research in the field of medical services, and realize the specific and systematic research transformation.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trends and major risk factors of ICH disease burden by gender in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and to predict ICH incidence and mortality in China and globally by gender from 2022 to 2046. MethodsBased on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), data on ICH in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 were collected. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) were used to assess ICH disease burden and risk factors by gender. Joinpoint regression models were employed to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) for trend analysis. The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was applied to predict ICH incidence and mortality from 2022 to 2046. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2021, ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR for ICH in China and globally showed declining trends across genders (P<0.05). For males in China and globally, the AAPC for ASIR was −1.63% (95%CI −1.69% to −1.57%) and −1.14% (95%CI −1.20% to −1.07%), respectively. For females in China and globally, the AAPC for ASIR was −2.27% (95%CI −2.35% to −2.18%) and −1.40% (95%CI −1.40% to −1.33%), respectively. The AAPC for ASMR in Chinese and global males was −1.81% (95%CI −2.07% to −1.55%) and −1.29% (95%CI −1.43% to −1.15%), respectively, while for females in China and globally, it was −2.74% (95%CI −2.94% to −2.54%) and −1.69% (95%CI −1.82% to −1.55%), respectively. The AAPC for ASDR in Chinese and global males was −1.91% (95%CI −2.11% to −1.72%) and −1.39% (95%CI −1.52% to −1.26%), respectively, and for females in China and globally, it was −2.93% (95%CI −3.07% to −2.79%) and −1.85% (95%CI −1.96% to −1.74%), respectively. By 2046, the predicted ASIR for ICH in Chinese and global males is projected to be 38.08/100 000 and 44.23/100 000, respectively, and 28.27/100 000 and 29.15/100 000 for Chinese and global females. The ASMR is predicted to reach 37.01/100 000 and 68.57/100 000 for Chinese and global males, and 22.39/100 000 and 29.45/100 000 for Chinese and global females, respectively. ConclusionThe disease burden of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in China has demonstrated a declining trend, yet it persistently exceeds global averages and exhibits pronounced gender disparities. There is an urgent need to enhance focus on these gender−specific variations and implement precisely targeted interventions tailored to the distinct risk factor profiles of each gender, in order to achieve further reductions in ICH−related disease burden.
By reviewing and analyzing the domestic and international rehabilitation medicine education, we try to forecast the development of rehabilitation medicine of Sichuan, and moreover, to summarize and analyze the problems and difficulties of rehabilitation medicine education in this province. Then, we put forward the development countermeasures of Sichuan rehabilitation medicine education from the aspect of talent training object and mode, in order to gradually establish and improve a rehabilitation medicine education system that can adapt to the training requirements of modern medicine, to cultivate talents of rehabilitation medicine suitable for national construction needs at every level, and to improve the overall quality of Sichuan rehabilitation medicine education and build a medical rehabilitation highland in West China.
ObjectiveTo investigate the trend of serum bilirubin in patients with liver cirrhosis before and after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS).MethodsThe data of patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension who underwent TIPS between October 2016 and June 2018 were collected retrospectively, including liver function before and after surgery (1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months after surgery), preoperative and postoperative portal vein pressure, and the Child-Pugh scores, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores. Paired t-test was used for the statistical measurement data. The total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL), and indirect bilirubin (IBIL) levels at five time points were analyzed by analysis of variance of repeated measurement data with its own before and after comparison, and Wilcoxon signed ranks test was used for the ordered data.ResultsA total of 60 patients were included.The portal vein pressure was (27.86±2.53) mm Hg (1 mm Hg=0.133 kPa) before TIPS and (17.22±2.33) mm Hg after TIPS, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). The common logarithm of the serum TBIL level [lg(TBIL)] before surgery and 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months after surgery were (1.27±0.23), (1.44±0.21), (1.51±0.20), (1.56±0.22), (1.48±0.19) lg(μmol/L), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001). The common logarithm of the serum DBIL level [lg(DBIL)] at the five time periods were (0.90±0.26), (1.14±0.24), (1.18±0.25), (1.21±0.28), (1.08±0.21) lg(μmol/L), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001). The common logarithm of the serum IBIL level [lg(IBIL)] at the five time periods were (1.00±0.23), (1.13±0.22), (1.20±0.23), (1.26±0.21), (1.22±0.23) lg(μmol/L), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in the three liver reserve function scores (Child-Pugh, MELD, and ALBI, respectively) before and six months after operation (P>0.05). The differences in the composition of Child-Pugh and ALBI before and after surgery were not statistically significant (P>0.05).ConclusionsTIPS has a significant effect on reducing portal hypertension. Serum bilirubin levels continue to increase during a period after TIPS, but begin to decrease within 6 months.
ObjectiveTo understand the burden of stroke disease and age-period-cohort effects in China from 1990 to 2021, and to provide scientific basis for formulating relevant prevention and treatment strategies. MethodsBased on GBD 2021 data, the Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of incidence rate, mortality and DALYs rate of stroke, and the APC model was used to analyze the impact of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality of stroke. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the standardized incidence rate, standardized mortality rate and standardized DALYs rate of stroke in China showed an overall downward trend, with AAPC of −0.37% (95%CI −0.45% to −0.29%), −1.79% (95%CI −1.99% to −1.59%), and −1.93% (95%CI −2.07% to −1.80%), respectively. The results of the age-period-cohort model showed that the incidence and mortality risks of stroke increased with age. The risk of female onset remained stable in the early stage but increased rapidly in the later stage, while the risk of male mortality showed a slight upward trend. The risk of onset and death generally decreased with the passage of the birth cohort. Hypertension had always been the primary risk factor for stroke, and metabolic factors such as high blood sugar had become the main factors affecting disease burden. ConclusionThe burden of stroke disease in China is still relatively heavy, and differentiated intervention measures should be developed for different age and gender groups based on controllable risk factors, especially focusing on the elderly and male population.
ObjectiveTo examine changes of in-hospitalization mortality for arterial switch operation (ASO) for the patients with D-transposition of the great arteries (TGA) in our hospital. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 473 consecutive TGA patients undergoing ASO to assess temporal trends of in-hospital mortality between 2001 and 2012 year. The patients in every 2 years were brought together into a group. By this way, all the patients were divided into 6 groups. In risk-adjusted analyses, mortality of each group between 2001 and 2012 year were compared within the 6 groups. ResultsAmong all the patients, 29 in-hospital deaths occurred. Between 2001 and 2012 year, the prevalence of preoperative factors-including age (P=0.13), gender (P=0.94), height (P=0.29), weight (P=0.21), combined with pulmonary hypertension (P=0.59), training for left ventricle (P=0.14), and anatomy of coronary arteries (P=0.27) did not significantly change. Crude mortality significantly decreased during that period (17.4% in the first group vs. 4.1% in the sixth group, P<0.001). Adjusted mortality also significantly became better in the ten years (the sixth group vs. the first group, odds ratio 0.098, 95% confidence interval, 0.018-0.550，P=0.01). ConclusionBetween 2001 and 2012 year, the prevalence of risk factors among TGA patients undergoing ASO remains unchanged, but the in-hospital mortality substantial decreases.
ObjectiveTo explore the continuous changing trend of healthcare-associated infection prevalence rate in a children’s hospital.MethodsFrom July 2012 to November 2018, a cross-sectional survey was conducted to investigate the prevalence of healthcare-associated infections in hospitalized children for seven consecutive years by combining case-checking and bedside survey.ResultsA total of 10 310 hospitalized children were investigated in the past seven years. The incidence of healthcare-associated infections from 2012 to 2018 was 2.08%, 4.84%, 1.59%, 3.76%, 1.63%, 1.74%, and 2.08%, respectively, showing a statistically significant downward trend (LLA=7.631, P=0.006). The departments with higher proportion of healthcare-associated infections were pediatric surgery (50.0%), pediatric medicine (44.8%), neonatal medicine (2.8%), and intensive care units (2.4%) . Viruses (38.8%) were the most common pathogens of healthcare-associated infections, followed by Gram-negative bacteria (34.3%) .ConclusionsThe prevalence of healthcare-associated infections in the children’s hospital showed a downward trend year by year. Pediatric surgery is the most common occurrence department, and viruses are the most common pathogens. It can provide evidence for prevention and control of healthcare-associated infection in children’s hospitals.