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find Author "YANG Amin" 1 results
  • Risk prediction models for delirium after adult cardiac surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

    ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the risk prediction models for postoperative delirium in adults with cardiac surgery. MethodsThe SinoMed, CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, PubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were searched to collect studies on risk prediction models for postoperative delirium in cardiac surgery published up to January 29, 2025. Two researchers screened the literature according to inclusion and exclusion criteria, used the PROBAST bias tool to assess the quality of the literature, and conducted a meta-analysis of common predictors in the model using Stata 17.0 software. ResultsA total of 21 articles were included, establishing 45 models with 28733 patients. Age, cardiopulmonary bypass time, history of diabetes, history of cerebrovascular disease, and gender were the top five common predictors. The area under the curve (AUC) of the 45 models ranged from 0.6 to 0.926. Fourteen out of the 21 studies had good applicability, while the applicability of the remaining seven was unclear; 20 studies had a high risk of bias. Meta-analysis showed that the incidence of postoperative delirium in adults with cardiac surgery was 18.6% [95%CI (15.7%, 21.6%)], and age [OR=1.04 (1.04, 1.05), P<0.001], history of cerebrovascular disease [OR=1.76 (1.46, 2.06), P<0.001], gender [OR=1.73 (1.43, 2.03), P<0.001], minimum mental state examination score [OR=1.00 (0.82, 1.17), P<0.001], and length of ICU stay [OR=5.59 (4.29, 6.88), P<0.001] weer independent influencing factors of postoperative delirium after cardiac surgery. ConclusionThe risk prediction models for postoperative delirium after cardiac surgery have good predictive performance, but there is a high overall risk of bias. In the future, large-sample, multicenter, high-quality prospective clinical studies should be conducted to construct the optimal risk prediction model for postoperative delirium in adults with cardiac surgery, aiming to identify and prevent the occurrence of postoperative delirium as early as possible.

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