ObjectiveTo analyze the burden of digestive diseases attributed to smoking in China from 1990 to 2019 and forecast its change in the next 10 years. MethodsThe Global Burden of Disease database 2019 was used to analyze the burden of digestive diseases attributed to smoking in China from 1990 to 2019. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the time variation trend. A time series model was used to predict the burden of digestive diseases attributable to smoking over the next 10 years. ResultsIn 2019, there were 12 900 deaths from digestive diseases attributed to smoking in China, with a DALY of 398 600 years, a crude death rate of 0.91/100 000 and a crude DALY rate of 28.02/100 000. The attributed standardized mortality rate was 0.69 per 100 000, and the standardized DALY rate was 19.79 per 100 000, which was higher than the global level. In 2019, the standardized mortality rate and DALY rate of males were higher than those of females (1.48/ 100 000 vs. 0.11/ 100 000, 38.42/ 100 000 vs. 293/100 000), and the standardized rates of males and females showed a downward trend over time. In 2019, both mortality and DALY rates from digestive diseases attributed to smoking increased with age. ARIMA predicts that over the next 10 years, the burden of disease in the digestive system caused by smoking will decrease significantly. ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, the burden of digestive diseases attributed to smoking showed a decreasing trend in China, and the problem of disease burden is more serious in men and the elderly population. A series of effective measures should be taken to reduce the smoking rate in key groups. The burden of digestive diseases caused by smoking will be significantly reduced in the next 10 years.
Recently, sponsored by the Science Popularization Department of the China Anti Cancer Association, jointly organized by the Rehabilitation Branch of the China Anti Cancer Association and the Mijian Digital Cancer Patient Course Management Platform, and co-organized by the Science Popularization Special Committee of the China Anti Cancer Association, The "2022 White Paper on the Quality of Life of Chinese Lung Cancer Patients" has been officially released (herein after referred to as the "White Paper"), which mainly elaborates on the basic situation of Chinese lung cancer patients and the medical, social, and economic impacts caused by the disease. This article interprets the White Paper in order to help the public understand the real situation of lung cancer patients and provide important empirical evidence and valuable insights for the diagnosis, treatment, and rehabilitation of lung cancer in China.
Objective To systematically review the epidemic trend and disease burden of ischemic stroke in the Chinese population and to provide references for formulating reasonable prevention and treatment measures and allocating health resources. Methods Based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, we analyzed the morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) and normalized rates for ischemic stroke in China from 1990 to 2019 and evaluated the changes in the disease burden by sex and age group. Meanwhile, joinpoint regression model was constructed to analyze the time trend change in each stage during the study period. Results Compared with 1990, the incidence, mortality and DALY rate of ischemic stroke in China increased by 171.68%, 125.60% and 98.60% in 2019, among which the incidence, mortality and DALY rate of males increased by 184.29%, 148.96% and 115.16%, respectively; the morbidity, mortality and DALY rates of females increased by 160.9%, 101.32% and 81.44%, respectively. The age-standardized incidence increased by 34.70%, while the age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALY rate decreased by 3.33% and 4.02%, respectively; the age-standardized incidence, mortality and DALY rates of males increased by 39.52%, 8.03% and 3.68%, respectively; the age-standardized incidence rate of females increased by 31.40%, while the age-standardized mortality rate and age-standardized DALY rate decreased by 14.02% and 11.53%, respectively. In 2019, both the mortality rate and DALY rate due to ischemic stroke increased with age, and the highest rate was found in the population over 85 years old. Males over 60 years old were significantly than females. In the 55-84 age group, the incidence of ischemic stroke in females was higher than that in males, while in the 85 and above age group, the incidence of ischemic stroke in females was lower than that in males. The AAPC of age-standardized incidence, age-standardized mortality, and age-standardized DALY rates due to ischemic stroke from 1990 to 2019 were 1.06% (95%CI 1.00% to 1.11%), 0.01% (95%CI −0.45% to 0.48%) and −0.16% (95%CI −0.53% to 0.22%), respectively. All indicators of the AAPC for males were higher than those for females. ConclusionThe curvent age-standardized mortality and DALY rate of ischemic stroke in China have decreased slightly compared with 1990. The crude mortality, morbidity and disease burden have significantly increased. All indicators of the AAPC for males were higher than those for females. To reduce the epidemic trend and disease burden of ischemic stroke, reasonable prevention and treatment measures and rational allocation of health resources should be made according to sex and age.
ObjectiveTo analyze the epidemiological burden and trend of skin malignant melanoma in China based on the data from the global burden of disease 2019 (GBD 2019). MethodsThe data about quantity of incidences/illnesses/deaths, age-standardized incidence/prevalence rates/mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and DALY rate of skin malignant melanoma in China from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the GBD 2019 databases. The epidemiological trends, age-period-cohort trends, and the relationship between the incidence and sociodemographic index (SDI) were analyzed.ResultsIn 2019, both prevalence and incidence of skin malignant melanoma in China were at low levels in the world, the age-standardized mortality ranked the 35th in the 204 countries GBD researched, the number of prevalent cases and incident cases increased compared with 1990 (12.65% and 3.57%, respectively), the prevalence and incidence rates showed growth trends, while the DALY rate and mortality decreased slowly. The prevalence of skin malignant melanoma peaked age at 50 to 54 years old. The incidence peak age of males was older than that of females (55-59 years old for males vs. 50-54 years old for females), while the mortality peak age of males was younger than that of females (55-59 years old for males vs. 75-79 years old for females). With the increasing of SDI value, the incidence of skin malignant melanoma showed a linear growth trend. DALY rate was negatively correlated with SDI (P<0.05). ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, age-standardized incidence and prevalence of skin malignant melanoma in China are increasing, while DALY rate and mortality are decreasing, and these are correlated with social and medical development.
ObjectiveTo comprehensively analyze the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China from 1990 to 2021, and predict the trend of disease burden changes from 2022 to 2031, in order to improve its prevention and treatment strategies. MethodsData from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database were extracted and analyzed for the disease burden of nasopharyngeal cancer, laryngeal cancer, and tracheal, bronchial and lung cancers (hereinafter referred to as lung cancer) in China from 1990 to 2021. The Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software was utilized to analyze the corresponding trends. The grey prediction model [GM (1,1)] was employed to forecast the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China from 2022 to 2031. ResultsThe disease burden of respiratory cancers attributed to tobacco and occupational carcinogens in China raised from 1990 to 2021. Among the respiratory cancers, lung cancer led in terms of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and their respective age-standardized rates from 1990 to 2021, followed by nasopharyngeal cancer, with laryngeal cancer being the lowest. Analysis via the Joinpoint regression model indicated that, overall, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal and laryngeal cancers in China decreased during this time period, while that of lung cancer increased. From a gender perspective, the disease burden of male patients was significantly higher than that of female patients from 1990 to 2021. Compared to the global average, the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China from 1990 to 2021 was still relatively heavy. As of 2021, the middle-aged and elderly population above 50 years old was the primary group suffering from the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China. The prediction model showed that the age-standardized rate of nasopharyngeal cancer in China would decline from 2022 to 2031; the age-standardized incidence rate of laryngeal cancer in China would increase, while its age-standardized mortality rate and DALY rate would both decrease; the age-standardized rates of lung cancer in China would increase. ConclusionIn the past 30 years, the disease burden of nasopharyngeal and laryngeal cancers in China has lightened, but the overall disease burden of lung cancer is still on the rise. Compared to the global average, the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China is still relatively heavy. The disease burden in male patients is significantly higher than that in female patients, and the population above 50 years old is the main group suffering from the disease burden. In the next 10 years, the disease burden of respiratory cancers in China will still tend to increase. Therefore, targeted prevention and treatment strategies for men and the middle-aged and elderly populations remain key challenges that urgently need to be addressed in China's response to respiratory cancers.
Objective To analyze the current status and temporal trends of the disease burden of spinal fractures in China from 1990 to 2021 based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), aiming to provide evidence for developing prevention and treatment strategies. Methods Epidemiological data on spinal fractures in China, the United States of America (USA), and globally were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. Joinpoint regression models were applied to analyze temporal trends. Age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates were calculated, with comparisons of gender- and age-group disparities. Results In 2021, the number of incident cases, prevalent cases, and DALYs of spinal fractures in China increased by 52.28%, 113.68%, and 106.98%, respectively, compared to 1990. The age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and DALYs rates rose by 11.80%, 16.11%, and 14.79%, respectively. The disease burden escalated significantly with age, peaking in individuals aged ≥75 years. Males exhibited higher age-standardized incidence and DALYs rates than females. Comparative analysis revealed that the age-standardized DALYs rate in China (4.19/100 000) was lower than that in globally (6.62/100 000) and USA (15.92/100 000). However, China showed an upward trend [annual average percentage change (AAPC)=0.19%], contrasting with a declining trend in the USA (AAPC=–0.08%). ConclusionThe escalating disease burden of spinal fractures in China is closely linked to population aging, gender disparities, and insufficient targeted prevention policies. Future strategies should integrate age- and gender-specific interventions, including strengthened osteoporosis prevention, trauma risk control, and big data-driven precision measures, to mitigate this burden.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trends and major risk factors of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) disease burden by gender in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, and to predict ICH incidence and mortality in China and globally by gender from 2022 to 2046. MethodsBased on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), data on ICH in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 were collected. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) were used to assess ICH disease burden and risk factors by gender. Joinpoint regression models were employed to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) for trend analysis. The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was applied to predict ICH incidence and mortality from 2022 to 2046. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2021, ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR for ICH in China and globally showed declining trends across genders (P<0.05). For males in China and globally, the AAPC for ASIR was −1.63% (95%CI −1.69% to −1.57%) and −1.14% (95%CI −1.20% to −1.07%), respectively. For females in China and globally, the AAPC for ASIR was −2.27% (95%CI −2.35% to −2.18%) and −1.40% (95%CI −1.40% to −1.33%), respectively. The AAPC for ASMR in Chinese and global males was −1.81% (95%CI −2.07% to −1.55%) and −1.29% (95%CI −1.43% to −1.15%), respectively, while for females in China and globally, it was −2.74% (95%CI −2.94% to −2.54%) and −1.69% (95%CI −1.82% to −1.55%), respectively. The AAPC for ASDR in Chinese and global males was −1.91% (95%CI −2.11% to −1.72%) and −1.39% (95%CI −1.52% to −1.26%), respectively, and for females in China and globally, it was −2.93% (95%CI −3.07% to −2.79%) and −1.85% (95%CI −1.96% to −1.74%), respectively. By 2046, the predicted ASIR for ICH in Chinese and global males is projected to be 38.08/100 000 and 44.23/100 000, respectively, and 28.27/100 000 and 29.15/100 000 for Chinese and global females. The ASMR is predicted to reach 37.01/100 000 and 68.57/100 000 for Chinese and global males, and 22.39/100 000 and 29.45/100 000 for Chinese and global females, respectively. ConclusionThe disease burden of ICH in China has demonstrated a declining trend, yet it persistently exceeds global averages and exhibits pronounced gender disparities. There is an urgent need to enhance focus on these gender−specific variations and implement precisely targeted interventions tailored to the distinct risk factor profiles of each gender, in order to achieve further reductions in ICH−related disease burden.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trends of incidence, mortality, and burden of disease of cervical cancer in Chinese females from 1990 to 2019.MethodsThe global burden of disease database (GBD) and China health statistics yearbook data was used to analyze the incidence, standardized incidence, mortality, standardized mortality, urban and rural mortality, and burden of cervical cancer among Chinese females using Excel, SPSS 21.0 and Joinpoint Regression Program 4.8.0.1.ResultsThe standardized incidence of cervical cancer among Chinese females increased from 9.21/100 000 in 1990 to 12.06/100 000 in 2019, and the standardized mortality decreased from 8.40/100 000 to 7.36/100 000. The standardized mortality of cervical cancer in 2018 decreased when compared with 2015 in both urban and rural areas. Changes in age-group incidence and mortality indicated that there was a younger trend in cervical cancer. The disease burden indicators (DALY, YLL, and YLD) were increased from 86.49, 84.01, and 1.52 ten thousand person/years to 162.22, 157.40, and 4.83 ten thousand person/years, in which the YLD increased the most (217.76%). The APC of DALY, YLL and YLD were 2.39%, 2.56% and 4.25%, respectively. The proportion of cervical cancer disease burden in female cancer increased in 2019 compared with 1990. And DALY, YLL and YLD increased in the age group of 40 or over, in which DALY of the age group 50-54 increased 167.15%.ConclusionsThe situation of cervical cancer is not optimistic in China. Although the mortality of cervical cancer has decreased in recent years, the number of cases and mortalities is still increasing. Not only the burden of disease is continuously increasing, there is also a younger trend in cervical cancer. Active preventive measures should be taken to reduce the burden of cervical cancer.
ObjectiveTo analyze the trend of disease burden changes in congenital birth defects in China from 1990 to 2019. MethodsUsing the global burden of disease study 2019 (GBD 2019), we analyzed the morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of congenital birth defect diseases and their corresponding age-standardized rates and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to analyze the changes in the disease burden of congenital birth defects in China and compared them with global data from 1990 to 2019. ResultsIn 2019, the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY in China were 147.41/100 000, 4.62/100 000, 480.95/100 000, respectively. Compared with 1990, the age-standardized incidence rate, age-standardized mortality rate, and age-standardized DALY rate increased by 12.08% and decreased by 70.38% and 66.82%, respectively. In recent years, although the age-standardized incidence of congenital birth defect disease in China is on the rise and higher than the global level, the disease burden is roughly on the decline and lower than the global level, which is closely related to earlier intervention and treatment of the disease resulting in a lower standardized mortality rate. ConclusionThe age-standardized mortality rate of children with congenital birth defects in China showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2019, and the burden of disease ranged from slightly higher than global to lower than global levels, but the age-standardized incidence rate was significantly higher, but the age-specific incidence rate has increased significantly.
Objective To analyze the trend of changes in the burden of liver cancer diseases attributed to alcohol consumption in China from 1990 to 2019. Methods Data on liver cancer burden attributed to drinking in China from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the global burden of disease 2019. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the temporal trend of disease burden, and age-period-cohort model was used to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects. Results From 1990 to 2019, the standardized incidence rate of liver cancer attributable to drinking among the total population, men and women showed a downward trend. The AAPC was −2.52% (95%CI −2.83% to −2.21%), 3.26% (95%CI −3.62% to −2.89%) and −2.24% (95%CI −2.61% to −1.86%), respectively; The standardized mortality rates showed a decreasing trend, with AAPC values of −2.86% (95%CI −3.46% to −2.26%), −3.48% (95%CI −4.20% to −2.76%), and −2.67% (95%CI −2.99% to −2.34%), respectively; The standardized DALY rates showed a downward trend, with AAPC values of −3.09% (95%CI −3.65% to −2.53%), −2.92% (95%CI −3.25% to −2.58%), and −3.77 (95%CI −4.21% to −3.31%), respectively. The trend changes were statistically significant (P<0.05). From 1990 to 2019, the overall risk of liver cancer incidence and death attributed to drinking in China, both in males and females, showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing with age; As the period increased, both the overall population and the male population showed a downward trend, followed by an upward trend, while the female population remained relatively stable; The lower the risk of liver cancer incidence and death attributed to drinking as the queue progressed. Conclusion The standardized incidence rate, mortality and DALY rates of liver cancer attributable to drinking in China are generally declining, we should strengthen health education and early diagnosis and treatment for both male and elderly people to reduce the burden of liver cancer.